stock·research
Public figure · disclosed-trade signal

Donald Trump

Built from 23 disclosed trades across 21 tickers · last refreshed 5/19/2026

Top 5 recommended stocks — weighted by disclosure legitimacy, size & recency
#TickerCompanyConvictionCross-checkBuy / SellDisclosed volumeLast action
1AVGOBroadcom0.98✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 2/15/2026
2NOWServiceNow0.98✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 2/15/2026
3ADBEAdobe0.98✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 2/15/2026
4ORCLOracle0.98✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 2/15/2026
5TXNTexas Instruments0.98✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 2/15/2026

Conviction = signed sum of pick weights. Each weight = source legitimacy (STOCK Act / OGE filing = 1.0) × recency (9-month half-life) × disclosed size (log-scaled) × cross-check confidence (verified 1.0 / single-source 0.6 / disputed 0.25). Buys add, sells subtract.

Bio

Donald Trump is the 47th President of the United States and, as a federal executive-branch official, is required to file OGE Form 278 financial disclosures and periodic 278-T transaction reports under federal ethics law. His Q1 2026 filing — two 278-T reports filed in mid-May 2026 — disclosed 3,642 individual securities transactions (2,345 buys, 1,296 sells) executed between January 1 and March 31, 2026, with a cumulative disclosed value between $220M and $750M. The portfolio is managed by money managers within a trust structure overseen by his children; the trades reflect the disclosed Trump portfolio signal, not necessarily personal stock-picking by President Trump himself.

Personality

The disclosed portfolio exhibits extraordinarily high turnover — roughly 58 transactions per market day in Q1 2026 — suggesting active, manager-driven rebalancing rather than passive index exposure. Instrument mix spans individual equities (tech-heavy), municipal bonds, corporate debt (including bonds tied to Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, Broadcom), Treasury bills, and high-yield bond funds, with bonds dominating by transaction count. Equity position sizing is concentrated in the $500K–$5M range per name, with the largest single disclosed equity activity in the $5M–$30M band for MSFT, AMZN, and META (where large legacy sales were partially offset by smaller re-buys). A notable tactical pattern appeared in March 2026: the portfolio reportedly accumulated semiconductor and energy names (AMD, Intel, Bloom Energy, Marvell, Micron, and others) into the ~8% S&P drawdown triggered by the Iran war outbreak, positions that subsequently booked ~100% gains on the recovery. The overall Q1 2026 equity tilt represents a rapid, large-scale restructuring toward technology and artificial intelligence themes.

Expertise

The disclosed portfolio is most heavily concentrated in large-cap technology and semiconductor equities — including AI infrastructure names (NVDA, AVGO, DELL, TXN, MRVL, MU, AMD, INTC), enterprise software (ORCL, NOW, ADBE, MSFT), and consumer/platform tech (AAPL, GOOGL, AMZN, META). Secondary concentrations appear in fintech/financial services (GS), energy technology (BE/Bloom Energy), and consumer internet platforms (ABNB, DASH), alongside a substantial fixed-income sleeve across municipal, corporate, and government debt instruments.

Voice — pull-quotes
  • ["- Trump's Q1 2026 OGE 278-T filings disclosed 3,642 individual transactions worth $220M–$750M cumulative — approximately 58 trades per market day across the quarter.","- The top VERIFIED accumulation signals (conviction 1.03 each, $1M–$5M disclosed, last filed 2026-02-15) are AAPL, AVGO, NOW, ADBE, ORCL, MSI, TXN, and DELL — all corroborated by 2+ independent sources.","- NVDA shows a VERIFIED net-buy signal at conviction 1.01, with $1M–$5M disclosed and a last-buy date of 2026-02-10, consistent with the broad AI infrastructure accumulation theme across the portfolio.","- META is the strongest distribution signal in the filing: a net-sell at conviction -1.09, with $5M–$25M disclosed in sales and zero offsetting buys — VERIFIED by 2+ independent sources, last sell 2026-02-10.","- MSFT and AMZN both show VERIFIED mixed signals (conviction -0.06 each): large legacy sales of $6M–$30M were partially offset by smaller re-buys on the same 2026-02-15 date, producing a slight net-sell reading.","- Single-source signals from the March 2026 cluster — AMD, INTC, BE, MRVL (all dated 2026-03-20, $500K–$1M each, conviction 0.63) — align with the reported dip-buying into the Iran-war-driven ~8% S&P drawdown; treat these with explicit hedging until a second source corroborates.","- The Washington Post reported Trump missed the 45-day STOCK Act filing deadline on a separate set of MSFT and AMZN trades worth tens of millions of dollars; a $200 fine was assessed, underscoring that disclosure timing can lag materially.","- All disclosed trades are executed by money managers within a child-supervised trust; the White House asserts no conflicts of interest, while the 3,642 hand-picked individual transactions contradict earlier public characterizations of the holdings as 'broad market index' exposure."]
External research notes
Donald Trump is the sitting U.S. President. As a federal official he files OGE Form 278 financial disclosures and periodic 278-T transaction reports. His Q1 2026 filing (two 278-T reports, filed mid-May 2026) disclosed MORE THAN 3,600 individual securities transactions executed Jan 1 - Mar 31, 2026, with cumulative value between $220M and $750M — roughly 58 trades per market day, with purchases outnumbering sales about 2-to-1. NOTE ON ATTRIBUTION: Eric Trump has publicly stated the family's assets are in a 'blind trust' invested in 'broad market indexes' — but the OGE disclosure lists 3,642 individual, hand-picked trades, which contradicts the blind-trust / index-fund characterization. The trades are executed by money managers; this signal reflects the disclosed Trump portfolio, not necessarily personal stock-picking by Trump himself. Q1 2026 PATTERN: a rapid restructuring heavily tilted toward technology and AI. Largest equity buys ($1M-5M each): Nvidia, Microsoft, Broadcom, Amazon, Apple, ServiceNow, Adobe, Oracle, Motorola, Texas Instruments, Dell. Secondary buys ($500K-1M): AMD, Intel, Goldman Sachs, Alphabet, Airbnb, DoorDash, Micron, Bloom Energy. Large legacy SALES ($5M-25M) of Amazon, Meta and Microsoft were offset by smaller re-buys. The portfolio reportedly booked ~100% gains on AMD, Intel, Iridium Communications, Bloom Energy, Intuitive Machines, Marvell, Penguin Solutions, SanDisk, Seagate and Vishay — many bought into the March 2026 dip caused by the start of the Iran war (S&P fell ~8%, then recovered ~19%). The disclosure also shows heavy municipal-bond and corporate-debt activity (debt tied to Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, Broadcom), Treasury bills and high-yield bond funds — bonds are actually the bulk of the portfolio by count. CAVEATS: 278-T disclosures lag the trade and report dollar RANGES, not exact amounts. As a sitting president actively trading individual securities, the activity draws significant conflict-of-interest scrutiny. This is a disclosed-portfolio signal, not investment advice. Trackers: Quiver Quantitative, OGE.gov, CNBC, Euronews. DISCLOSURE-QUALITY NOTE (added on cross-check refresh): The Washington Post reported Trump MISSED the STOCK Act's 45-day filing deadline on a separate set of Microsoft and Amazon trades worth tens of millions of dollars, and was fined $200. The White House states the assets are held in a trust managed by his children and that 'there are no conflicts of interest' — note this is a child-managed trust, not the 'blind trust in broad market indexes' Eric Trump had described. The Q1 2026 filing (3,642 transactions, 2,345 buys / 1,296 sells) remains the latest as of mid-May 2026; corroborated independently by CNBC, Euronews, NBC News, Reuters and Fortune.
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All disclosed tickers (21)
TickerConvictionCross-checkBuy / SellLast action
AVGO0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
NOW0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
ADBE0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
ORCL0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
TXN0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
DELL0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
MSI0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
AAPL0.98✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
NVDA0.97✓ verified1 / 0buy 2/10/2026
BE0.61single source1 / 0buy 3/20/2026
AMD0.61single source1 / 0buy 3/20/2026
INTC0.61single source1 / 0buy 3/20/2026
MRVL0.61single source1 / 0buy 3/20/2026
GS0.56single source1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
GOOGL0.56single source1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
ABNB0.56single source1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
DASH0.56single source1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
MU0.56single source1 / 0buy 2/15/2026
MSFT-0.06✓ verified1 / 1buy 2/15/2026
AMZN-0.06✓ verified1 / 1buy 2/15/2026
META-1.04✓ verified0 / 1sell 2/10/2026