stock·research
Public figure · disclosed-trade signal

Nancy Pelosi

Built from 27 disclosed trades across 11 tickers · last refreshed 5/19/2026

Top 5 recommended stocks — weighted by disclosure legitimacy, size & recency
#TickerCompanyConvictionCross-checkBuy / SellDisclosed volumeLast action
1GOOGLAlphabet1.81single source4 / 1$2.3M–7.5Mbuy 1/16/2026
2AMZNAmazon1.59✓ verified3 / 1$1.9M–6.8Mbuy 1/16/2026
3NVDANVIDIA1.50✓ verified3 / 1$1.6M–6.3Mbuy 1/16/2026
4TEMTempus AI0.94single source2 / 0$100K–200Kbuy 1/16/2026
5ABAllianceBernstein Holding0.91✓ verified1 / 0$1.0M–5.0Mbuy 1/16/2026

Conviction = signed sum of pick weights. Each weight = source legitimacy (STOCK Act / OGE filing = 1.0) × recency (9-month half-life) × disclosed size (log-scaled) × cross-check confidence (verified 1.0 / single-source 0.6 / disputed 0.25). Buys add, sells subtract.

Bio

Nancy Pelosi is a former U.S. Representative (D-CA) and former Speaker of the House who is exiting Congress at the end of her current term. Her portfolio activity is tracked via STOCK Act Periodic Transaction Reports (PTRs), which legally mandate disclosure of trades made by members of Congress and their spouses — in this case, trades are predominantly attributed to her husband Paul Pelosi, a San Francisco venture capitalist. Her most recent PTR, filed January 23, 2026, disclosed more than $10 million in cumulative transactions spanning late December 2025 through mid-January 2026.

Personality

The disclosed portfolio exhibits a signature strategy of purchasing deep-in-the-money LEAP call options on mega-cap technology names — typically struck 1–2 years out — then exercising them into shares at a substantial discount to prevailing market prices, functioning as a leveraged directional bet rather than a passive holding strategy. Position sizing is aggressive, with individual disclosed transactions ranging from hundreds of thousands to tens of millions of dollars, and the largest stakes concentrated in a handful of high-conviction mega-cap tech names. Recent filings reveal a deliberate broadening into AI-adjacent themes: AI infrastructure (NVDA, AVGO), AI healthcare (TEM), and AI-linked power generation (VST), alongside a new large financial-services position in AllianceBernstein. The portfolio also shows periodic repositioning — late December 2025 saw heavy trimming and full exits (AAPL reduction, PYPL and DIS fully closed), some via donation to a donor-advised fund rather than outright sale. Turnover is episodic rather than constant: long quiet periods punctuated by concentrated transaction clusters.

Expertise

The disclosed portfolio is overwhelmingly concentrated in large-cap U.S. technology and technology-adjacent sectors, with particular depth in cloud computing, semiconductors, cybersecurity, and AI infrastructure (GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, AVGO, PANW). Secondary concentration has emerged in AI-enabling themes beyond pure tech: AI-driven healthcare data (Tempus AI), power/energy infrastructure supporting AI compute (Vistra), and asset management (AllianceBernstein).

Voice — pull-quotes
  • ["- The January 23, 2026 PTR filing covers 27 disclosed signals across 11 tickers, with cumulative disclosed transaction value of $10M+ for the late-December 2025 through mid-January 2026 window alone.","- GOOGL carries the highest weighted conviction score (1.89) of any ticker on file, with 4 buy signals vs. 1 sell signal and $2.3M–$7.5M in disclosed size; note this is a single-source signal and should be treated with more caution than VERIFIED tickers.","- AMZN and NVDA are both VERIFIED (2+ independent sources agree) with convictions of 1.67 and 1.57 respectively — the two strongest cross-validated accumulation signals in the current dataset.","- AAPL is the highest-conviction SELL on file (conviction -1.11, VERIFIED), with $10.3M–$50.5M in disclosed size across 1 buy and 2 sell signals; the last disclosed action was a sell on 2025-12-30, with some shares reportedly transferred to a donor-advised fund.","- DIS and PYPL are both VERIFIED net-sell signals (convictions -0.80 and -0.83), each showing a single disclosed full-exit sale on 2025-12-30 with no offsetting buy activity on record.","- The disclosed portfolio returned +20.1% in 2025 per Unusual Whales' annual report, versus the S&P 500's +16.6%, consistent with a multi-year pattern of index outperformance noted across multiple trackers.","- As Pelosi is exiting Congress in early 2026, the STOCK Act PTR obligation that generates these signals will cease — the forward information value of new filings is expected to taper and eventually end.","- All disclosed trades are legally attributed to spouse Paul Pelosi; PTR filings can lag the actual execution date by up to approximately 45 days, making every signal a lagging indicator of activity that has already occurred."]
External research notes
Nancy Pelosi is a former U.S. Representative (D-CA) and former Speaker of the House who announced she will not seek re-election, leaving Congress at the end of her term. Her stock activity is tracked via STOCK Act Periodic Transaction Reports (PTRs) — trades are largely attributed to her spouse Paul Pelosi, a San Francisco venture capitalist. Her PTR filed January 23, 2026 disclosed more than $10M in cumulative transactions covering late December 2025 through mid-January 2026. SIGNATURE STYLE: deep-in-the-money LEAP call options on mega-cap tech, bought 1-2 years out, then exercised into shares at a steep discount to market — a leveraged, high-conviction way to take directional bets. Recent additions broaden into AI-adjacent energy (Vistra) and AI healthcare (Tempus AI), plus a large AllianceBernstein stake. December 2025 saw heavy SELLING/repositioning: large Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet trims (some Apple/Alphabet shares moved to a donor-advised fund), and full exits of PayPal and Disney. PERFORMANCE: per Unusual Whales' 2025 annual report, the Pelosi portfolio returned +20.1% in 2025 vs the S&P 500's +16.6%. Multiple outlets noted her multi-year track record beating the index by a wide margin. CAVEATS: PTR disclosures can lag the actual trade by up to ~45 days. Trades are executed by/for her spouse. As of early 2026 she is exiting Congress, so the forward signal from new filings will taper. Trackers: Capitol Trades, Quiver Quantitative, Unusual Whales, Pelosi Tracker.
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All disclosed tickers (11)
TickerConvictionCross-checkBuy / SellLast action
GOOGL1.81single source4 / 1buy 1/16/2026
AMZN1.59✓ verified3 / 1buy 1/16/2026
NVDA1.50✓ verified3 / 1buy 1/16/2026
TEM0.94single source2 / 0buy 1/16/2026
AB0.91✓ verified1 / 0buy 1/16/2026
AVGO0.64single source2 / 0exercise 6/20/2025
PANW0.48single source3 / 0call 2/21/2025
VST0.19single source1 / 0exercise 1/15/2025
DIS-0.76✓ verified0 / 1sell 12/30/2025
PYPL-0.79✓ verified0 / 1sell 12/30/2025
AAPL-1.06✓ verified1 / 2sell 12/30/2025
Recent conversations
  • 5/19/2026 · NVDA
    Q: What does your disclosure signal say about NVDA right now?

    ## NVDA (NVIDIA) — Disclosure Signal Summary NVDA is the **#1 ranked ticker** in the disclosed PTR data by weighted conviction score, sitting at **+1.57** — the strongest accumulation signal across all 11 names on file. The record shows **3 buy signals vs. 1 sell signal**, with a total disclosed dollar range of **$1.6M–$6.3M** across those transactions. The most recent disclosed action was a **BUY on January 16, 2026**, captured in the PTR filed January 23, 2026. That's a fresh, high-recency signal at the top of the conviction ladder. The pattern here fits the signature LEAP-then-exercise playbook — deep-in-the-money call options purchased well out in time, then exercised into shares. The January 2026 buy came as part of a broader repositioning that also added GOOGL, AMZN, TEM, and AB, suggesting a deliberate rotation *into* AI-infrastructure names after trimming legacy positions like AAPL, DIS, and PYPL in December 2025. NVDA leading that rotation in conviction score is notable. **Applying your sizing ladder:** NVDA is a high-conviction name — I'd read this as a **Confidence 4**, putting you at **3x $500 = $1,500**. NVDA trades above $100/share but well under $300, so standard lot sizing works fine. At ~$130/share (approximate at time of writing — verify current price), $1,500 gets you roughly **11 shares**. At $0.005/share IBKR fixed, that's ~$0.055 in commission — trivially under your 0.3% threshold. --- **Required caveats:** - The January 16 disclosed trade may have executed at a meaningfully different price than today's market — PTR lag can be up to ~45 days, and NVDA moves fast. - All disclosed trades are attributed to **Paul Pelosi** (her spouse), potentially through trusts or managed accounts — not a personal directive from Nancy Pelosi. - The conviction score is a weighted analytical signal, not a return forecast. - As Nancy Pelosi exits Congress in early 2026, **future PTR filings will taper and eventually cease** — the forward utility of this signal stream is diminishing. - This is decision support derived from public disclosures, **not financial advice**.